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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report


       Refi nery  about  20,000-tpa,  for  a   The  fi rst  phase  of  a  potentially  chain, with these products exported to   Renewable carbon feedstocks: Building a net-zero
       regional total of 340,000-tpa.    multi-phase  project  would produce  Japan.
                                         about  165,000-tpa  of  blue  hydrogen
          And this does not include the blue  toward the end of this decade, with the  Pembina Pipeline/Marubeni JV  chemical industry in 2050
       hydrogen  plant  Dublin,  Ireland-based  hydrogen converted into blue ammonia   In  May  2023,  Pembina  Pipeline   xperts from nova-Institute, on
       Linde,  a  leading  global  industrial  for export to the Japanese market and  Corporation announced it had signed   behalf of the Renewable Car-
       gases and engineering company, is to  possibly others in Asia.     a Memorandum of  Agreement  with           Ebon Initiative (RCI), prepared a
       build  and  operate  to  supply  Dow                               Japan’s Marubeni Corporation for joint     groundbreaking report titled “Evalua-
       Canada’s Fort Saskatchewan Path2Zero  Inter Pipeline/Petronas Canada/  development of a world-scale, low-car-  tion of Recent Reports on the Future
       project,  and Shell’s Polaris project  to  Itochu JV               bon hydrogen and ammonia production        of  a  Net-Zero  Chemical  Industry  in
       decarbonize  its  refi nery  and  chemical   In May 2022, Inter Pipeline Ltd.  facility on Pembina-owned lands adja-  2050”. This study, which builds on
       plant at Scotford.                announced  it  is  partnering  with  cent to its Redwater Complex in AIH    RCI’s pioneering work in introduc-
                                         Japan’s Itochu Corporation and Petro-  for export  to  Japan  and  other  Asian   ing the concepts of renewable carbon
          Linde has yet to announce the exact  nas Energy Canada Ltd. to evaluate  markets.                          and defossilisation, provides a critical   Fig. 1: Net zero chemical industry – mean   Fig. 2: Net zero plastics industry – mean
       capacity of its plant, but said it is to be  the development of two facilities                                assessment of net-zero visions for the     feedstock shares (%)              feedstock shares (%)
       the largest clean hydrogen production  to produce world-scale volumes of   Initial  feasibility  studies  had  been   chemical and plastics industries. The  chemical  industry  by  2050  compared  of the chemicals sector as a whole.
       plant in Canada, and one of the largest  blue ammonia and lesser volumes of  completed at the time of the announce-  now released report evaluates avail-  to 2020 levels.        Plastics are easier to recycle and keep
       in the world, upon completion of its  blue methanol for export primarily to  ment.  The facility  has an anticipated   able studies with net-zero 2050 visions                    in circulation than other chemical
       two phases near the end of this decade.  Japan.                    design  capacity  of  up  to  185,000-tpa   and scenarios for chemicals or plas-  Notably, growth patterns show signi-  products.
       As part of Shell’s Polaris project, grey                           of  blue  hydrogen  production,  to  be    tics, with a focus on overall growth  fi cant  geographical  differences:  Most
       hydrogen  production  will  be  converted   Blue ammonia is obviously an effi -  converted  into  about  1-mtpa  of  blue   and renewable carbon shares.  After  of the growth is expected to take place  Implications for the future
       into blue hydrogen towards the end of 2028.  cient method of transporting hydrogen,  ammonia for export to Asia.  rigorous quality checks of available  outside  of  Europe;  and  feedstock   Despite variations  in modelling
                                         whereas  blue  methanol  serves  as  a                                      reports, 15 studies with a total of 24  volumes in Europe are predicted to  approaches,  assumptions  and scope,
       Proposed export projects          versatile  building  block  for  numerous  Hydrogen Canada Corp./E1 Corpora-  scenarios were evaluated in regards to  remain stable through 2050.  the results of  the studies agree on  a
          In addition, as previously men-  everyday  productsand  is  being  evalu-  tion Partnership                the relative contributions of non-fossil                            common  vision:  in  a  net-zero  future,
       tioned, fi ve consortiums have proposed  ated  for  use  as  a  low-carbon  fuel  for   In  October  2023,  Calgary-based   feedstocks and pathways projected for  Renewable carbon shares  the chemical industry’s feedstock shifts
       world-scale blue ammonia export pro-  industries such as shipping.  Hydrogen  Canada  Corp.  (HCC)  an-       2050.                                The analysis reveals a clear trend  dramatically  away from fossil feed-
       jects for AIH, with four targeting pri-                            nounced  the  closing  of  its  C$10-mn                                      toward  defossilisation.  All  scenarios  stocks. Biomass, CCU and  recycling
       marily the Japanese market and one the   Had  the  project  been  sanctioned  seed  round  fi nancing  and  the  signing   The comprehensive analysis identi-  include biomass and recycling as possi-  are consistently identifi ed as the pillars
       South Korean market.              in  2024,  the  JV  was  targeting  a  2027  of a letter of commitment on an offtake   fi es biomass, CCU and recycling as the  ble alternatives to replace fossil carbon,  of this transition and beyond, with re-
                                         in-service date.                 agreement with E1 Corporation, a global    cornerstone of the chemical industry’s  while  two-thirds  also  include  carbon  cycled feedstock projected as the main
       Mitsubishi/Shell Canada JV                                         leader in the LPG industry and South       feedstock in 2050.                capture and storage (CCU). A complete  source of carbon for plastics production
          In September 2021, Japan’s Mitsu-  ATCO/Kansai Electric Power JV  Korea’snumber  one  LPG  provider,  to                                     defossilisation is considered in 10 of  (see Figures 1 and 2).
       bishi  Corporation  and  Shell  Canada   In April 2023, ATCO and Japan’s  develop  a  world-scale  blue  hydrogen/  Key fi ndings of the report follow.  the 24 scenarios. The remaining studies
       Products announced they had signed a  Kansai Electric Power Co. announced  ammonia facility in AIH for export to                                expect a residual share of fossil carbon   While  uncertainties  remain  about
       Memorandum of Understanding to pro-  they were collaborating to develop an  South Korea and other Asian markets.  Industry growth projections   feedstocks, and in those cases combine  the volume of chemical recycling due
       duce blue hydrogen at a facility Mitsu-  integrated  clean fuels supply chain                                    The  majority  of  global  scenarios  these  processes  with  Carbon  Capture  to current low technology readiness
       bishi  aims  to  build  and  start-up  near  between  AIHand  Japan.  ATCO  and  Initial  feasibility  studies  with  res-  anticipate  continued growth in the  and Storage (CCS).  levels,  the results clearly  show that
       Shell’s Scotford complex in the latter  Kansai at the time had already  com-  pect  to  the  blue  hydrogen/ammonia   production of the chemical  industry.                       maximising  carbon  recovery  and  cir-
       half  of  this  decade,  with  Shell/ATCO  pleted a pre-feasibility study to produce  facility had already been completed by   The average annual growth rate of the   For the entire  chemical  sector, the  cularity of carbon can only be achieved
       providing CO storage via their  Atlas  blue hydrogen and its derivatives in the  HCC, with an anticipated design capa-  global feedstock demand for the chemi-  average feedstock shares of 16 scenarios  by  including  and  scaling  chemical
                  2
       Carbon Storage Hub.               Heartland,  spanning  the  entire  value  city of about 1-mtpa of blue ammonia.  cal or plastics industry is projected at  across  nine  reports  are  22%  biomass,  recycling.
                                                                                                                     2.9% (range 2%-4%). This indicates a  33% CCU, 20% recycling  and 24%
                                                                                                                     slight deceleration compared to 3-4%  fossil & CCS (see Fig. 1).       This report provides invaluable in-
                                                 Missed a copy !!!                                                   compound annual growth rate (CAGR)                                  sights for industry leaders, policymakers,
                                   For Digital Edition of this month’s issue & all other past issues                 observed in recent decades. Studies dif-  For the plastics sector, 10 scenarios  and  researchers working towards
                                               Visit www.hpicindia.com                                               fer on the extent to which this growth  across seven reports project shares of:  a net-zero future in the chemical sector.
                                             PDF copies available for download                                       will be offset by effi ciency gains along  21%  biomass,  17%  CCU,  42%  recy-  It highlights the urgent need for conti-
                                                   Register Now                                                      the value chain. Overall, this translates  cling and 19% fossil & CCS (see Fig. 2).  nued innovation and investment  in
                 Contact: For Subscription   : Mrs. Usha S. - usha@hpicindia.com                                     into an approximate 2.4-fold increase  Not surprisingly, the recycling rate  renewable carbon technologies to meet
                                 For Advertising   : Mr. Vijay Raghavan - vijay@hpicindia.com                        in  global  feedstock  demand  from  the  for plastics is more than twice that  the ambitious goals set for 2050.


       196                                                                 Chemical Weekly  December 10, 2024        Chemical Weekly  December 10, 2024                                                              197


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