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Special Report




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         • COPPER SULPHATE ANHYDROUS

         • SODIUM DIHYDROGEN ORTHOPHOSPHATE DIHYDRATE

         • DI-SODIUM HYDROGEN ORTHO PHOSPHATE ANHYDROUS

         • DI-SODIUM HYDROGEN ORTHO PHOSPHATE DIHYDRATE

               • TRI-SODIUM PHOSPHATE DODECAHYDRATE

 Fig. 5: Price Trend.  • POTASSIUM PHOSPHATE MONOBASIC
 Source: AGMARKNET, Chini mandi, Ind-Ra
 rise further to 15-17-bnl by ESY26-27.  requirement. Furthermore, notwithstanding  the restrictions imposed on cane juice and
 However, challenges in the form of ade-  some decline, the gross sugar production  B-heavy molasses in ESY24, ethanol pro-  • POTASSIUM PHOSPHATE DIBASIC
 quate feedstock availability and vehicle  is estimated to come in at 33-33.5-mt for  duction from C-heavy molasses (CHM)
 compatibility beyond  15%  blending,  SS25, which is higher than the domestic  was given an incentive of Rs. 6.87 per litre,   • SODIUM CARBONATE ANHYDROUS /MONO
 given  the  reduction  in  fuel  effi ciency,  consumption of 28-29-mt. As a result, Ind-  highest  increase  in  the  past  fi ve  years
 need to be addressed. The Biofuel Policy  Ra believes that the restrictions on the  to incentivise supply. Consequently, the   • MANGANESE SULPHATE
 2018 also mandates 5% ethanol blend-  diversion of sugar to ethanol could be eased in  supply from CHM increased substantially
 ing in diesel by 2030, which if success-  ESY25. Sugar diversion hit a high of 3.8-mt  to 390-mnl (million litres) in 8MESY24   • MANGANESE CHLORIDE
 ful could aid ethanol demand growth.  in SS23 and given the continued growth of  (ESY23: 65-mnl). Similarly, the price of
 However, according to the   “Ind-Ra believes that grains will drive the ethanol production growth over   maize-based  etha-  • MAGNESIUM SULPHATE ANHYDROUS
 government, it is at an ex-  nol was also given
 perimental stage with ini-  the medium term”  an incentive where         • POTASSIUM NITRATE
 tial tests showing formation of deposits  around 2% in sugar consumption and the  it was increased by Rs. 5.8 per litre to
 in fuel tanks, among other implications.  government’s  prioritisation of  food  secu-  Rs. 71.9 per litre for ESY24, to improve pro-  • POTASSIUM CHLORIDE
 rity, the potential for a sustainable increase   fi tability and incentivise production. Ethanol
 Restrictions on use of sugarcane likely to   in diversion is limited. Therefore, Ind-Ra   price movements have largely moved in         • POTASSIUM BROMIDE
 be eased in ESY25, but grain-based dis-  believes that grains will drive the ethanol   tandem with the fair and remunerative
 tilleries to lead near-to-medium growth  production growth over the medium term.   prices of cane, which is also fi xed by the
 Given  the  benefi t  of  integration  and   While initially relatively slow to take off,   IN BULK LR / AR GRADE CHEMICALS
 ready availability of feedstock, sugar-  grain-based ethanol production capacities   government, leading to inherent stability
 cane-based ethanol has driven the supply   grew 30% yoy in ESY23 and could rise   in  the  profi tability.  However,  while  the
 growth witnessed in the past three to four  further to 6.5-7.5-bnl by ESY26-27, poten-  prices of grain-based ethanol are deter-  POTASSIUM DICHROMATE            STARCH (POTATO)  SOLUBLE
 years. However, the restrictions on the  tially contributing 60% of the total ethanol   mined by the oil manufacturing compa-  POTASSIUM CHROMATE           BARIUM BROMIDE
 use of cane juice and B-heavy molasses  demand for fuel. However, for that to hap-  nies, the input cost is based on the market   SODIUM NITRATE          ZINC BROMIDE
 resulted in grain-based ethanol supply sur-  pen, the availability of maize has to increase   demand-supply dynamics, making them
 passing sugarcane-based ethanol supply in  by way of an increase in the domestic out-  inherently volatile. With the stoppage of   BISMUTH NITRATE /SUBNITRATE       STRONTIUM BROMIDE
 7MESY24. Maize was the key contri-  put and imports, for which the industry has   supply of rice by Food Corporation of   CADMIUM NITRATE /SULPHATE          CADMIUM BROMIDE /OXIDE
 butor to the 220%yoy jump in grain-based  made a representation for the removal of   India to ethanol units and a sharp increase
 ethanol supply to 1.8-bnl in 7MESY24   custom duty.  in the prices of other feedstocks such as   QUALIKEMS LIFESCIENCES PVT. LTD.
 (7MESY23: 0.5-bnl), contributing around   broken rice and maize, the profi tability of
 60% to the total grain-based supply.  Profi tability from grain-based ethanol   grain-based ethanol had been hit in FY23-  H.O & WORKS: Plot No.68-69, G.I.D.C Industrial Estate, Nandesari,
 relatively low and volatile  FY24. While the increase in prices is likely   Vadodara - 391340 (GUJARAT).
 Given the higher than initial estimated   The government has continuously  to aid profi tability of grain-based ethanol
 production of sugar, India is likely to end  increased ethanol prices from all feed-  in FY25, profi tability would remain sus-  Telefax : + 91-265-2841531,32,34,35 • Mobile: +91-92275 36999
 the season with a stock of 8.5-9-mt, signifi -  stocks between ESY17-ESY23 to sup-  ceptible  to  fl uctuations  in  raw  material   Email: salesindia@qualikems.com  &  Info@qualikems.com
 cantly higher than the normative carryover  port the ethanol blending program. With  prices based on the adequacy of supply.  Web : www.qualikems.com
                                                                                                     KNS ADI
 180  Chemical Weekly  September 24, 2024  Chemical Weekly  September 24, 2024                         181


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