Page 182 - CW E-Magazine (30-1-2024)
P. 182

Special Report


       per capita income growth is targeted,  ancillaries, IT (especially those  Unicorns fell off the $1-bn valua-


       partially through tax cuts and the  which have cottoned onto AI), green  tion level. venture Capitalists, Seed      Products                                                                   CAS No.
       balance through negotiated wage in-  energy, energy storage solutions,  Capital firms and Family  offices,
       creases.  The weakening Yen helped  biotech, etc. are expected to do   are sitting on cash and are eyeing start-   Malononitrile                                                               109-77-3
                                                                                                                                                                                                      73-40-5
                                                                                                                          Guanine
                                                                                        CAS
         PRODUCTS
       the export sector grow, but there is  better in 2024 than they did in 2023.  ups with reasonable valuations. Angel   Chloroacetonitrile                                                        107-14-2
       every likelihood of the US Dollar                                  investors remain  active, though more           N-(2-Amino-4,6-dichloro pyrimidine-5-yl) formamide [FADCP]                  171887-03-9
       weakening against the Yen in 2024.   India is expected to remain the  circumspect.                                 2-Amino-4,6-Dimethyoxy Pyrimidine [ADMP]                                    36315-01-2
       The Japanese Central Bank is aware  fastest growing economy in the                                                 4-Fluorophenol                                                              371-41-5
       of the task ahead. Japan is trying  world delivering around 6.2-6.5%   According to Inc42’s Indian                 5-ChloroThiophene-2-Carboxylic acid [5CTA]                                  24065-33-6
       to ‘import’ young talent from other  GDP growth in FY 24-25.  The   Tech Start-up Funding Report Q3                (3r)-3-Amino-1-butanol                                                      61477-40-5
       countries,  including  India,  to  sup-  Rupee is expected to remain stable  2023, fund raise by Indian start-ups   Cyclopropane Carboxylic Acid                                               1759-53-1
       port their technology skills and bala-  in FY24 with the possibility of the  dropped to $7.1-bn in the first nine   2,6-Dimethyl-1-Indanone [2,6DMI]                                           66309-83-9
       nce their ageing population, so as  RBI allowing it to appreciate mar-  months of 2023, versus approxi-            Acetonitrile                                                                75-05-8
                                                                                                                          3-Ethyl-4-methyl-3-pyrrolin-2-one [EMPO]
                                                                                                                                                                                                      766-36-9
       to be able to compete with hungry  ginally in the second half when the  mately $22-bn raised during the            Methylglyoxal Dimethyl Acetal [MGDA]                                        6342-56-9
       and nimble competitors like Korea,  Dollar dips. Inflation will probably  corresponding period last year. This     3-Fluoro-4-Methylbenzonitrile [FBN]                                         170572-49-3
       HongKong, vietnam, and China. The  however around 5%. The stock mar-  led to 34,785 employees being laid           3-Fluoro-4-(Hydroxymethyl) Benzonitrile   [FHMBN]                           219873-06-0
       Japanese stock market is expected to  kets are already rising in anticipation  off by 121 Indian start-ups. Byju’s    Sucralfate                                                               54182-58-0
       give a big thumbs up with a likely  of stable economic policies and the  debacle hurt two dozen edtech start-ups.    Benzethonium Chloride [BTC]                                               121-54-0
       increase in ToPIX by nearly 13% in  inflow from domestic (30-mn new  Start-up founders and their insti-              2-AminoBenzonitrile [2ABN]                                                1885-29-6
       2024 – excellent by global standards.  equity investors due to the growing  tutional investors have suddenly       2-Amino-5-chlorobenzoic acid [ACBA]                                         635-21-2
                                         middle class) and foreign invest-  realised, after resisting for three           Anthranilamide                                                              88-68-6
          Indonesia will remain a star in Asia  ments. Inclusion in the JP Morgan   quarters, that their ‘valuation’ driven   4-Methyl Pyrazole                                                       7554-65-6
       in 2024, with a growth around 5%,   GBI with 10% weightage could bring  model is well past the sell by date.       4,4'-Dihydroxydiphenyl Ether [DHDE]                                         1965-09-9
                                                                                                                                                                                                      500011-86-9
                                                                                                                          3-Bromo-1-(3-chloro-2-pyridinyl)-1H-pyrazole-5-carboxylic Acid [K Acid]
       despite lower commodity prices   in $20-30 bn in 2024. India’s weight-  The emerging era of top and bottom-        2-Methoxy-5-nitropyridine                                                   5446-92-4
       because inflation is expected to  age in the MSCI Global index has  line driven start-ups, which create            5-tert-Butyl-m-Xylene                                                       98-19-1
       drop, Government spending likely  risen from 15.9% to 16.3%, leading  real value, opens up good opportuni-         2-Chloro DiPhenyl Ether [CDPE]                                              2689-07-8
       to rise in the Election year, and due  to a prospect of additional $ 1.5-bn  ties for angel investors, in which re-  Decanenitrile [DCN]                                                       1975-78-6
       to consumer expenditure support. It  foreign  inflow  into  the  equity  mar-  turns could be many times what the   5-Methyl 5-Phenyl Hydantoin [MPH]                                          6843-49-8
       remains a target for China+1 invest-  kets.  This, and other factors like   capital market offers.  This also of-
       ments. The Government is going all  better corporate results, etc. could  fers an opportunity for founders with   Exclusive synthesis & CDMO Services
       out to bring in foreign capital invest-  mean a 13-15% increase in BSE  genuine business ideas, who were      Inventys offers customized development & manufacturing services for Crop Protection, Pharma & Specialties. We have state-of-the-art

       ments, which might work because of  and NSE equity indices in FY24-25.  earlier crowded out by smart talking   competence in process R&D and small to medium scale manufacturing conforming from ISO up to GMP standards.
       political stability.              Large caps may see revival, while  founders running flaky start-ups. All
          Contract Manufacturing         mid and small caps, which delivered   this begs  the  question,  ‘Would you
       Positive mood in India            stellar performance in 2023, may  not invest in a basket of equities and                                                              Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API)
          Finally coming to India: the pre-  continue to do well in 2024.  This  start-ups in India and a few select
       vailing mood is positive, and the  might also offer excellent opportunity  EMs, now that the time is ripe?’                                                             Registered Starting Materials
          services for Agro, Pharma & Specialities. We have state-
       incumbent Government is expected  to cherry pick value stocks, besides
          of-the-art  competence  in  process  R&D  and  small  to
       to be returned in the Parliamentary  investing in unlisted NSE stocks. If   Some of us, including me, would                                                             Advanced Intermediates
          medium scale manufacturing conforming from ISO up to
       elections.  There may be additional  so,  would you  not  invest  in  Indian  answer positively to all seven ques-
          GMP standards.
       Government spending in the Jan-Mar  and Japanese equities now, instead of  tions that I posed in this article                                                           Active Ingredients
       2024 quarter and a populist Annual  defensively playing the debt game?  though many readers would have
       Budget on Feb 1, with the intent to                                good  reasons  for  not  agreeing  to
       eliminate any residual chances of an   The  funding  winter for Start-  many of the seven. I am reminded of                                                             Crop Protection Intermediates
       opposition victory. Private capital  ups,  which started a  year ago, has  a verse from Robert Frost’s famous
       expenditure might get revived post-  not yet lifted.  This has taken the  poem,  The Road Not Taken. I shall                                                            Specialties
       elections. Some sectors like real   froth out of start-up valuations and  be telling this with a sigh somewhere
                                                              INVENTYS RESEARCH COMPANY PVT LTD
       estate, construction materials  (includ-  have taken founders without sensible  ages and ages hence: “Two roads             Inventys Research Company Pvt. Ltd.
       ing cement, paints, plastic pipes, steel),  projects off the charts.  There was  diverged in a wood, and I took the
       NBFCs, insurance, pharmaceuticals,   only one Unicorn added in India in  one  less  travelled  by,  And  that  has     Kanakia Zillion, Near Kurla Bus Depot, Kurla (West), Mumbai - 400 070. India
       automobiles (especially Evs), auto  2023, while 10 of the existing 108  made all the difference.”                      Email : CW@inventys.IN          Tel: +91.22.714.00.200      Fax: +91.22.714.00.299


       182                                                                   Chemical Weekly  January 30, 2024


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