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Indian Petrochem 2023 Conference



         100                        100                                   90        CAGR 1.2%           74
                    CAGR 2.5%           140        CAGR 3.3%          100% 80                           73
          80                        80  120                               70                            72
                                                                      80%                               71
                                        100                               60
          60                        60                                60%  50                           70
                                         80                                                             69
                                         60                               40
          40                        40                                40%  30                           68
                                         40                                                             67
          20                        20   20                           20%  20                           66
                                                                          10
                                         0                            0%                                65
          0                         0      2021  2022 2023(E) 2024  2025  2026  0                       64
            2018 2019 2020  2021 2022  2023(E)  Capacity   Production   OR (% RHS)  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  2023(E)
             Capacity   Production   OR (% RHS)  (MTPA)  (MTPA)              Capacity   Production   OR (% RHS)
             (MTPA)   (MTPA)                                                 (MTPA)     (MTPA)
                 Global PX balance               Global PTA balance              Global Benzene balance
      Source: Woodmac                   Source: Woodmac                  Source: ICIS
       higher operating rates, which ends up   Meanwhile, Indian PTA capa-  those to the west shrinking,” informed
       hurting the standalone players,” said  city has remained stagnant and imports  Mr. Sampat. The new benzene capaci-
       Mr. Sampat.                       have grown to meet robust demand  ties in China are mostly in mega refi ne-
                                         from polyesters.                 ries and these have been accompanied
          Even  in  purifi ed  terephthalic  acid                          by downstream investments.  Mean-
       (PTA), the business is getting increas-  In the benzene market, China add-  while in India, the lack of downstream
       ingly concentrated with integrated play-  ed 15-mtpa  of benzene  downstream  capacities, like for styrene, has stunted
       ers in China. The country now accounts  capacity from 2019 to 2023. This has led  consumption growth. “The absence
       for almost two-thirds of the global PTA  to lower import demand for styrene and  of styrene monomer production has
       capacity  and demand. “New PTA ex-  phenol. “The benzene and styrene/phe-  distorted  the  Indian  benzene  profi le,
       pansions will continue  to demand PX  nol trade dynamics have shifted with  making  the country a large benzene
       in China,” he said.               benzene imports to NEA growing and  exporter,” he said.



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       182                                                                 Chemical Weekly  December 19, 2023


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