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Special Report                                                                                                                                                                   Special Report



       Focus on reducing import dependence, not easing                                                               base, many MNCs invested several-  companies owning  industries  in  other  confi dence of Indian project promoters
                                                                                                                     billions of dollars in China. In spite of the  countries, they are few and far between,  to operate with global  mindset. Most
       FDI norms, on China                                                                                           current  political friction  with western  compared to the massive size of China’s  project promoters here seem to prefer
                                                                                                                     countries and the ongoing turbulent  economy and extent of investment  to focus on the Indian market, with only
                                                                                                                     trade relationships, investments by  made by MNCs in other countries. Very  the ‘surplus’ targeted for exports. Many
          n the recent Economic Survey for   Asia-Pacifi c. In short,       N.S. VENKATARAMAN                         MNCs in China are  only increasing.  few Chinese companies can thus claim  consider depending on exports a risk
          2023-24,  submitted  to  Parliament,   India’s relationship      Director                                  It is to the credit of the Chinese govern-  to be MNCs. Even as Chinese compa-  not worth taking!
       Ithere is clear admission of the fact   with China is unlikely      Nandini Consultancy Centre                ment that it has ensured that the trade  nies are gearing themselves to compete
       that  the size  of Indian industry and   to be sorted out at any    Chennai - 600 090                         war and political issues are not causing  with MNCs and overseas organisations,   However, the fact is that without
       India’s economy is a fraction of China’s.  time soon.               Email: nsvenkatchennai@gmail.com          any discomfort for MNCs operating in  China continues to be a recipient  of  entering global markets in a signifi cant
                                                                          to identifying other options for boost-    the country.                      technology inputs in several fi elds from  way, boosting India’s industrial growth
          The Economic Survey has also     In such circum-                ing India’s industry and economy and                                         abroad,  mostly  indirectly  by overseas  could be near impossible. What is needed
       pointed out that India’s import depen-  stances, easing FDI norms for China  to  fi nd  ways  to  reduce  India’s  import   One striking factor that cannot be  companies setting up ventures in China.  are proactive government policies to
       dence on Chinese products in critical   would amount to giving that country’s  dependence on China.           ignored is that the technologists,                                  attract investment by MNCs and over-
       sectors such as electronics, solar power,   investors a fi rm foothold in India’s indus-                       engineers and management professionals  What the Economic Survey should   seas organisations in  India,  just like
       pharma, etc. is rising, with the trade   trial sector and economy, and consequently  Factors behind China’s big leap   in China have quietly and quickly  have said               China has done. India too has a large
       imbalance  between the two countries   increasing India’s exposure to China to  forward                       absorbed technology and management   If India has to reduce its import  potential market base, fair level of natu-
       becoming increasingly unfavourable to   even more uncomfortable levels.  There  is no doubt that  industries   inputs that have come into China due to  dependence on China and ensure rapid  ral resources and large percentage of
       India.                                                             in China –  whether in steel, pharma,      the investments by MNCs, and have set  growth of domestic industries, there is  youth that can be trained quickly with a
                                           It is also necessary to keep in mind  electronics, aluminium, etc. –  have all   up  technology-intensive  projects and  no need for Chinese investors to invest  high level of technical and other skills.
          While  in  FY24,  India’s  exports   that the friction in relationship between  achieved  impressive growth in the   R&D ventures in China. In all opera-  in India. Instead, India should imitate
       to China amounted to US$16.6-bn,   China  and  USA/Western  countries  last few decades, not only in quantita-  tions of MNCs, large number of native  the policy approach of the Chinese   What MNCs have done for strengthe-
       imports from China to India reached   is different from that between India  tive terms but also in terms of techno-  Chinese personnel are employed and  government in facilitating MNC opera-  ning China’s industrial base can as well
       US$101.7-bn,  implying  a  trade  defi cit   and China. In the latter, the issues are  logy,  operational  effi ciency  and  quality.   over the years they have gained con-  tions in China in a massive way.  be done for India. The ball is in the court
       of about US$85-bn. In earlier years,   essentially due to business rivalries and  This big leap forward has been possible   siderable technology and management                   of the Government of India and Indian
       the trade defi cit was US$83-bn (FY23)   trade factors relating to global market  mainly due to the solid support, encour-  expertise, thus  strengthening the  eco-  MNCs are attracted  to China  not  project promoters.  There is, however,
       and US$73-bn (FY22).              share, and are not basic. In the case  agement and proactive policies extended   nomic and technological base in China.  only due to the huge market base avail-  one support that the Chinese Govern-
                                         of India, however, the issues are more  by the Chinese  government  to multi-                                 able and availability  of several mine-  ment can offer to MNCs, which the
       Wishful thinking                  fundamental and serious from India’s  national companies (MNCs)  largely       The huge investment by MNCs  rals and other resources, but also due to  Indian Government may not be able in full
          What  is  of  concern  is  that  the   security point of view, as  it concerns  based in Europe and USA. Assured of   has also had a positive impact on  the peaceful labour relationships preva-  measure. This is with regard to ensuring
       Economic Survey has called for    India’s territorial integrity. The Economic  a fair deal, availability of natural   ancillary industries supplying them  lent. The last is thanks to the totalita-  peaceful industrial relationships, and
       reconsideration of India’s policy   Survey has not paid adequate attention  resources in China, and a huge market   while adhering to global standards.  rian government, which does not permit  preventing corruption, especially at the
       towards China as it relates to Foreign                                                                        Today, several domestic companies in  counterproductive  trade union opera-  local levels of administration.
       Direct Investment (FDI) norms.                                                                                China have graduated to a level where  tions that may disturb industrial peace.
       It says Chinese investments must be                                                                           they are in a position to compete with  India’s excessive import dependence on   However, in recent times, there is
       welcomed in India and Chinese                                                                                 MNCs  not  only in  China  but  also  China is not due to any overwhelming  evidence that industrial relations in
       participation in Indian industries as                                                                         elsewhere.                        strength of Chinese companies.  They  India have improved, with both emplo-
       promoters and equity shareholders be                                                                                                            are only fi lling the demand – supply gap  yers and trade unions exhibiting more
       viewed more favourably.                                                                                       Chinese companies vis-à-vis MNCs  in India due to the vacuum created by  responsible attituded. However, in root-
                                                                                                                        One factor that should be noted is  India’s inability to strengthen and enlarge  ing out corruption in administration,
          This view amounts to wishful think-                                                                        that some of the products imported in  its industrial base with the speed needed.  India still has a long way to go. Overall,
       ing and is unrealistic.                                                                                       India from China may not be made  To retrieve the situation, India needs to  it  is  surprising  that  the  Economic
                                                                                                                     by  domestic Chinese companies, but  look internally, more than externally, at  Survey has eulogised China, but has not
          Government  of  India  will  fi nd  it                                                                      instead by  MNCs  operating in China,  China’s success.             focused adequate attention on the possi-
       extremely diffi cult to accept such recom-                                                                     though they too will be christened as                               bilities in India, while taking a holistic
       mendation due to the geopolitical risks                                                                       ‘Made in China’. Another noteworthy  Stepping up industrial growth in India  view of India-China relationships in
       involved, particularly due to India’s                                                                         point is  that even as  MNCs  have in-  The problem in stepping up indus-  the short- and long-term.  There  is  a
       border issues with China. China has                                                                           vested in China in a big way, Chinese  trial growth in India are largely due to  difference between easing FDI norms for
       decided to challenge India on  several                                                                        project promoters have not set up pro-  the inadequate investment capability;  China and for other countries. But the
       fronts in the coming years, to ensure it                                                                      jects in other countries to any signifi cant  inability to  develop  globally competi-  Economic Survey seems to have failed
       would be the dominant country in the                                                                          level  so  far.  While  there  are  Chinese  tive domestic technology; and lack of  to see this distinction!


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