Page 173 - CW E-Magazine (19-3-2024)
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ICC Conference 2024


          Mr. Goyal pointed out that in terms   tal and analytics-based performance
       of returns to shareholder, the Indian   improvement.
       chemical industry was a standout per-       Internationalisation and  becoming
       former during  the period from  2014   truly  global:  In a macro  environ-
       to 2023 – giving 20 percent  annual   ment of stalling global demand,
       growth, compared to the global average   companies could still seek out new
       of 6 percent.  This,  however, reduced   value  pools.  Towards this, they
       dramatically from 2020 to 2023, even   could build or  acquire a suite  of
       though it continued to be better than   institutional capabilities such as global
       most of the world.                  business development, customer
                                           access channels, local legal entities,
          “During the 2017-2020 period, we   supply chain infrastructure, applica-
       had revenue CAGR, but a lot of people   tion development setups and deep
       were focusing on margins. In 2020-23   regional regulatory understanding.
       period, we didn’t see an increase in     Accelerating  innovation: As  they

       margins  at all, as  a  lot of  people had    globalise, Indian chemical  com-
       focused on growth with investment in    panies could focus on both appli-    Mr. Suyog Kotecha
       capex. One of the observations we made   cation-based innovation and  new  and vulnerabilities are still  very high,
       was the emphasis that  Indian  compa-   product development, particularly  especially for sectors of interest to the
       nies had on functional excellence,    import substitution.         chemical industry like consumption of
       ensuring they are on the cutting edge of     Sustainability as  a dual play  –   goods, real estate and infrastructure in

       optimising processes using analytics,   defence and offense: As the industry   the US  and China, and downtrend in
       etc., had dipped dramatically,” he said.  accelerates towards decarbonisation   internation trade, among other factors.
                                           to   meet   stricter  regulatory
          Speaking about the effects of global    requirements and changing customer   Another factor that has  seriously
       headwinds on the  Indian industry,   expectations, companies could pro-  impacted the global chemical industry
       Mr. Goyal pointed to stalling demand   actively  develop an offense play  is the capacity build-up undertaken by
       growth in major export markets. “The   where they build green alternatives  China across the chemical industry vale
       Indian chemical industry already had a   based on green feedstock and for-  chains.
       huge trade deficit, and this deficit grew   mulations,  while also  investing in
       in the last 3-4 years.  While  we were   bio-based opportunities.     “China has accounted for around
       getting excited about  exporting  more,     Deepening and globalising their   60-70% of the  incremental  capa-

       we actually were not. The industry saw   talent pool: Companies could equip  city built up globally in last five years
       degrowth in exports – even for specia-   themselves with  the right skill set  from 2018 to 2023.  When such mas-
       lity  chemicals, while  overall imports   and capabilities  across functions  sive capacity expansions happen in the
       went up,” he said.                  such as research and development,  value  chain,  coupled  with practically
                                           technical sales, and shop-floor ope-  nil or limited demand growth, there is
          Dwelling on  the agrochemicals    rations.                      tremendous  pressure on the operating
       industry, Mr.  Goyal pointed to the                                rates with rates falling to 65-70%. For
       very significant agrochemical capacity    Such priorities could help shape the  bulk  chemical/petrochemical produ-
       increases in China through the  COVID   future of the Indian chemical industry  cers, these rates are a death knell from
       period, which is now impacting margins.  and potentially meet the ambition of a  a margin point of view. You don’t get
                                         $1-trillion chemicals market by  2040,  reinvestment margins at these kind of
          As the  chemical  industry  steps up  he concluded.             operating  rates.  The operating  rates
       to  find  its  footing  in  a  fast-changing                       are unlikely to go back to 85% level in
       world, Mr. Goyal advised companies to  Industry margins: lower for longer  the 2026-27 timeframe,” he cautioned,
       sharpen strategies by focussing on key   Mr. Suyog Kotecha,  President,   and pondered if the cyclical  trends
       areas like:                       Strategy and New business, Petrochemi-  historically seen in the chemical industry
            Building functional excellence:   cals, Reliance Industries Ltd., noted  would fundamentally change with longer
          Indian chemical companies can build  that in spite of the relative resilience of  periods of lower margins becoming the
          this muscle, especially through digi-  the global economy, the underlying risk  “new normal”.


       Chemical Weekly  March 19, 2024                                                                 173


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