Page 131 - CW E-Magazine (3-6-2025)
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Point of View
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 South Korea – falling profitability
 Historically, South Korea has been a leader in producing ethylene through naphtha cracking and exporting high-value-added processed   1-Bromo-3-Chloropropane  Dimethyl Acetyl Succinate
 products. Here too, China’s push towards self-sufficiency has significantly impacted South Korean exports, and profitability.
            1-Propanephosphonic Acid Cyclic               Dimethyl Succinylo Succinate
 The country’s petrochemical giants, including LG Chem, Lotte Chemical, Hanwha Solutions, and Kumho Petrochemical, have seen profits     Anhydride  Ethyl-4-Chloroaceto Acetate
 dwindle. In 2022, their combined operating profit totalled $2.98-bn, but this plummeted to $1.6-bn in 2023 and just $163-mn in 2024. Experts
 agree the crisis is structural rather than cyclical and requires comprehensive institutional reform and financial support from the government.   2,3-Xylidine  Hydroxyacetone
 Some promises have been made, but no concrete proposals have been forthcoming.
            2,4-Xylidine                                  Iron Oxide Red
 While Japan is the world’s oldest society (with 30% of its population over the age of 65), South Korea presently has half that share, but
 the fear is that it is going the same way. The contraction in the petrochemical industry in the former may portend what may come to the latter.  2,6-Xylidine  Isododecane
            3,4-Xylidine                                  Isopropyl Alcohol
 Taiwan – regional competition takes a toll
 According to data from the Petrochemical Industry Association of Taiwan, the country’s ethylene capacity is about 4.0-mtpa, while   4-Nitroacetophenone  Isopropyl Chloroformate
 its propylene capacity is about 3.4-mtpa. In 2024, production of major petrochemicals dropped 2.39%, exports were down by 4.3% and
 demand fell by 1.1% from the previous year.  4-Nox       Malononitrile
            5-Ethyl-2-Methylpyridine                      Ortho Nitrotoluene
 And the prospects for 2025 also seem grim. Weak downstream demand and regional competition are expected to keep cracker utilization
 rates in the range of 60-70% in 2025. Symptomatic of the industry’s travails, Formosa Petrochemical, a leading producer, has been operating   Benzaldehyde  Orthophthalodinitrile
 just one of three crackers, citing poor demand and unhealthy margins.
            Benzyl Alcohol                                Para Nitrotoluene
 India – a lone bright star
 Amongst all the gloom, India is seen as an exception, with demand expected to continue to grow for the near-term, though possibly   Creapure  Phenothiazine
 slower than hitherto. Growth will be driven by demographics and rising aspirations of the expanding middle class, as well as investments   Cyanuric Chloride  Thiophenol
 in industrial sectors such as automobiles, infrastructure and construction, among others. The Chemicals and Petrochemical Manufacturers’
 Association, an industry lobby group, reckons India’s petrochemical industry has entered a new phase of growth, manifest in a slew of projects.  Diisopropyl Ether  Transglutaminase Enzyme
 The first of these to come online in the next few months will be the refinery and petrochemical complex being set up by HPCL Rajasthan
 Refinery Ltd. (HRRL), a joint venture between Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (HPCL) (74% stake) and the Rajasthan State Government   PLEASE CONTACT WITH YOUR SPECIFIC REQUIREMENTS
 (26%), at Barmer. This dual-feed cracker will have the capacity to produce 820-ktpa of ethylene, 400-ktpa of propylene, aromatics (benzene &
 toluene), and polyolefins. Mechanical completion is expected by September this year, with full operations anticipated by December.  CHEMET

 Another project also expected to go online this year is a propane dehydrogenation (PDH) unit being built by gas major, GAIL India Ltd.,
 at Usar (Maharashtra) at a cost of $1.2-bn. This unit will have a nameplate capacity of 500-ktpa for propylene and matching capacity for
 polypropylene. GAIL has selected US engineering company Lummus Technology and Switzerland-based specialty chemical firm Clariant for   HEAD OFFICE : Span Centre, 2nd Floor, Ramakrishana Mission Road, Santacruz(West), Mumbai - 400 054, INDIA.
 catalyst supply. Further down the line is a similar project from Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), India’s largest refiner.  Tel : +91-22-66802222 / 26045601 E-Mail : info@chemetindia.com Website: www.chemetindia.com
                                               BRANCH OFFICES
 Petrochemical projects in India are also recalibrating feedstock choices to include ethane imported from the US.Ethane-based crackers   AHMEDABAD OFFICE : 1101, Safal Prelude,   HYDERABAD OFFICE : Flat No. 104, K1 Primo,
 have the lowest cash cost position for ethylene and though importing it does add to costs due the complex logistics, it is still an attractive   Corporate Road, Nr.Prahladnagar Garden,
 option. Reliance Industries Ltd. was the first to get on this act and is now one of the largest importers of ethane in the world. And others are   Kondapur X Roads, Hanuman Nagar, Kondapur,
 set to follow. ONGC, for one, is eyeing import of 800-ktpa of ethane for its dual-feed cracker at Dahej, which is operated by its 95%-owned   Anandnagar, Ahmedabad - 380 015, INDIA.  Hyderabad-500 084, Telangana, INDIA.
 subsidiary, ONGC Petro-additions Ltd. The cracker currently runs on a mix of naphtha and C2 (ethane), C3 (propane) & C4 (butane) feedstock.  Tel :  +91-79-40370725   Tel : +91-40-4856 5970 / 71
 ONGC has recently expressed an intent to partner with firms that will operate and manage Very Large Ethane Carriers, Very Large Gas Carriers   E-Mail : chemetahmedabad@chemetindia.com  E-Mail : chemethyderabad@chemetindia.com
 and Liquefied Natural Gas Carriers. The government – prodded by industry participants – is believed to have offered to slash import duties on   NEW DELHI OFFICE : 214, Hans Bhavan,
 US ethane from 2.5% currently to nil. While this is being offered as a sop to partly correct the ~$46-bn trade surplus India has with the US, it   Wing No.1, Bahadurshah Zafer Marg,   KOLKATA OFFICE : Sharma House, 3rd Floor, 1/2, Lord
 will also improve the competitiveness of crackers here that use ethane as feedstock.  New  Delhi - 110 002, INDIA.  Sinha Road, Kolkata - 700 071, INDIA.
            Tel : +91-11-45751865                        Tel : +91-33-22827247 / 22826511
 While the new petrochemical capacity coming in the short-term is welcome, growing demand will necessitate continued imports, and   E-Mail : chemetdelhi@chemetindia.com
 many more projects are needed. Configuring them for commercially viability in a challenging external environment will require investors   E-Mail : chemetkolkata@chemetindia.com
 to make astute choices when it comes to size, location, level of integration, technology and feedstock, as well as supportive government   CHENNAI OFFICE : 8-J, Century Plaza, 560-562,
 policies that ensure imports – from the region and beyond – at predatory pricing are kept at bay.  Anna Salai, Teynampet, Chennai - 600 018, INDIA.
            Tel : +91-44-24342245 / 24349301
 Ravi Raghavan  E-Mail : chemetchennai@chemetindia.com


 130  Chemical Weekly  June 3, 2025  Chemical Weekly  June 3, 2025                                     131


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