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Pharma Services



           ing  COVID,  and  has  made  significant  tic API market – again, everybody has a  velopment services, but, cascading from
           investment  in  building  it  domestically,  shore – to reduce its reliance on China.  that, this will result in “lost” commercial
           albeit  without  changes  in  some  of  the  Other  high-tech  industries  are  expand-  projects that were scuttled due to clinical
           regulations and policies that may have  ing investment in India as a hedge, so  delays from 2020-21.
           led  to  the  decline  of  domestic  manu-  it’s possible the Indian pharma industry
           facturing in the first place. The EU and  – and especially CDMOs – will shift to-  This phenomenon may also occur as
           India both have initiatives to boost local  ward high-value biopharma manufactur-  a result of the US Congress’ 2022 Infla-
           API  production.  But  as  we’ve  pointed  ing, while managing its reputation as the  tion Reduction Act (IRA), which permit-
           out  to  legislators,  regulators  and  other  hub of low-cost generic drugs.  ted drug price negotiations by Medicare
           stakeholders, manufacturing on smaller,                             for the first time. Pharma companies –
           local scales can actually lead to greater   Those  aforementioned  FDA  report-  large and small – have made statements
           fragility.                        ing  regulations  contain  confidentiality   about cancelling pipeline projects out of
                                             rules so that the public will not have ac-  fear that, if successful, those drugs will
              At the same time, one can’t reimag-  cess to sensitive manufacturing informa-  be caught up in “price controls” and fail
           ine a supply chain without understand-  tion, but they will still require CDMOs   to recoup their R&D investment. In the-
           ing that supply chain. In the US, we saw  to  report  customer  data  in  new  ways.   ory, such cancellations will trickle down
           the  Congress  empower  FDA  in  2020  In  some  cases,  this  may  require  mass   to  CDMOs  losing  out  on  associated
           to  require  all  API  and  Finished  Dos-  rewrites  of  quality  agreements,  and   projects, and even the loss of generics of
           age Form (FDF) facilities to report the  likely will also require added staffing at   such products years down the line.
           amounts of product they make annually.  CDMOs to handle these new reporting
           As I write this, more FDA reporting au-  duties. Some CDMOs may have to al-  (I’ll note that some drug companies
           thorities are being debated in the House  ter or install IT systems to better man-  cited the IRA as the reason for pipeline-
           and Senate, potentially requiring dosage  age manufacturing data; with increased   culls within days of its being signed into
           facilities  (including  CDMOs)  to  report  technology  and  workforce  investment   law, long before there was much clarity
           the source of each API they use and the  comes increased operating costs. Areas   on how negotiations would be handled,
           amount of each drug product manufac-  that are extremely cost-sensitive – such   which makes one (me) think those an-
           tured from that particular API. This has  as commodity generic oral solid doses –   nouncements  were  less  a  response  to
           been framed as a means to battle drug  could face new price pressures as these   IRA and more an excuse to cancel proj-
           shortages, but it’s no stretch to see this  reporting requirements proliferate.  ects while blaming outside forces.)
           as a mechanism to better understand de-
           pendence  on  certain  countries  for API   All of which is to say: Supply chain   Related to this, the PBOA member
           supply.  With  trade  tensions  high  be-  issues – whether they involve onshoring,   companies  I  surveyed  agree  that  the
           tween the US and China, a clearer idea   transparency requirements, rated orders   top  CDMO  business  challenge  is  the
           of “what comes from where” will create   and export controls, or rerouting produc-  slowdown in biotech funding, largely a
           a map of what’s at stake. (Again, don’t   tion due to drug shortages – will be criti-  result of higher interest rates that make
           sleep on excipients and KSMs.)    cally important to the CDMO sector and   investment less appealing than, say, buy-
                                             its customers in the years ahead. For our
              When  it  comes  to  China,  CDMOs,  part,  the  PBOA  and  its  members  have   ing a CD at 5%. Hesitation and yet more
           and the larger pharma sector, my Magic  engaged with stakeholders to find ways   pipeline-trimming by virtual, emerging
           8-Ball  is  murky.  The  most  recent  US  to  streamline  the  process  of  moving   and small biopharmas can translate very
           rhetoric  has  moved  away  from  talk  of  products to new sites or lines in order to   quickly  into  reduced  opportunities  for
           ‘decoupling’, but there are still trade bar-  mitigate against supply disruptions, and   CDMOs. No one has hazarded a guess
           riers that both countries are exercising.  to incentivise investment in new facili-  as to when the finance-floodgates may
           Combined with China’s recent econom-  ties in key dosage forms and areas.  reopen, but this has cast a pall over many
           ic slowdown and corruption crackdowns                               CDMOs, both public and private.
           on some business sectors, it’s unclear if   Impact on R&D
           the CDMO market in China will primar-  Another aspect of the COVID-hang-  One could argue that this slowdown
           ily be for in-China drugs and biologics,   over has been the impact on R&D. The  is also tied into COVID, as inflation and
           rather than global supply.        lockdowns and uncertainty in 2020 led  interest  rates  were  affected  by  govern-
                                             to slowdowns and shutdowns in clinical  ment spending to keep economies afloat
              As  mentioned,  pharma-neighbour  trials  in  many  regions.  The  immediate  amid  mass  lockdowns/shutdowns.  One
           India is trying to jump-start its domes-  result was a reduction in demand for de-  could  also  argue  that  it’s  a  bill-come-


           32                                                             Chemical Weekly  October / November 2023
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